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AHT: 12CSV

24 Apr 2024 · 19:45

Hull

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.6%
Coventry
20.6%
Draw
16.8%
Hull

Expected Goals (xG)

2.28

Coventry

vs
1.12

Hull

Markets

BTTS61.3%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.566.1%
Over 3.544.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
1-0
6.9%
3-0
6.6%
2-2
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
4-1
4.2%
3-2
4.1%
0-0
4.0%
4-0
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).