Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.9%
Sutton
30.5%
Draw
25.7%
Brackley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Sutton
vs
0.93
Brackley Town
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.518.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
12.9%
0-0
11.9%
2-0
9.1%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).