Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.7%
Ipswich
17.3%
Draw
9.1%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Ipswich
vs
0.51
Exeter
Markets
BTTS34.2%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.8%
2-0
16.2%
3-0
10.9%
2-1
8.3%
1-1
7.6%
0-0
7.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-0
5.5%
0-1
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-0
2.2%
2-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).