Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.0%
Lyon
12.7%
Draw
10.2%
Saint-Étienne
Expected Goals (xG)
3.00
Lyon
vs
1.04
Saint-Étienne
Markets
BTTS61.2%
Over 0.598.6%
Over 1.590.8%
Over 2.576.8%
Over 3.557.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-0
7.9%
2-0
7.9%
4-1
6.2%
4-0
5.9%
1-0
5.6%
1-1
5.2%
3-2
4.3%
2-2
4.3%
5-1
3.7%
5-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).