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AHT: 11CSV

25 Jan 2025 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.5%
Cordoba
21.3%
Draw
43.1%
Santander

Expected Goals (xG)

1.76

Cordoba

vs
1.95

Santander

Markets

BTTS70.8%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.588.3%
Over 2.571.5%
Over 3.550.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
7.2%
1-3
5.3%
0-1
4.9%
0-2
4.7%
2-3
4.7%
1-0
4.4%
3-1
4.3%
3-2
4.2%
2-0
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).