Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.2%
Harrogate
29.4%
Draw
36.4%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Harrogate
vs
1.04
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS40.4%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.533.4%
Over 3.515.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.1%
1-0
13.5%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
12.5%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
7.0%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
0-3
2.4%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).