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AHT: 11CSV

23 Feb 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.6%
Wehen
27.5%
Draw
52.9%
Paderborn

Expected Goals (xG)

0.88

Wehen

vs
1.59

Paderborn

Markets

BTTS47.6%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
0-1
12.4%
0-2
10.7%
0-0
9.7%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
6.3%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
5.2%
1-3
5.0%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
3.3%
0-4
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).