Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.4%
Morpeth Town
19.4%
Draw
25.2%
Pontefract Collieries
Expected Goals (xG)
2.28
Morpeth Town
vs
1.50
Pontefract Collieries
Markets
BTTS69.6%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.572.9%
Over 3.552.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.9%
1-1
7.5%
3-1
6.8%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
1-0
5.4%
3-2
5.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.9%
0-1
3.7%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).