Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.6%
St Etienne
19.5%
Draw
57.0%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
St Etienne
vs
2.17
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS64.9%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.568.1%
Over 3.546.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.4%
1-1
8.2%
0-2
7.1%
0-1
7.0%
1-3
6.8%
2-2
6.3%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.1%
2-3
4.6%
1-0
4.5%
1-4
3.7%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).