Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.8%
Leyton Orient
16.2%
Draw
74.0%
Manchester City
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Leyton Orient
vs
2.31
Manchester City
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.2%
0-1
11.7%
0-3
10.2%
1-2
9.2%
1-1
7.7%
1-3
7.1%
0-4
5.9%
0-0
4.7%
1-4
4.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-2
3.2%
2-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).