Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.7%
Fleetwood Town
25.5%
Draw
28.8%
Northampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Fleetwood Town
vs
0.99
Northampton
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.520.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
1-1
11.9%
0-1
10.8%
0-0
8.8%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).