⚽ FootballData
1 – 0
HHT: 00CSV

25 May 2025 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
30.7%
Zaragoza
28.5%
Draw
40.8%
La Coruna

Expected Goals (xG)

1.01

Zaragoza

vs
1.21

La Coruna

Markets

BTTS44.5%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.518.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.3%
1-1
13.1%
1-0
11.1%
0-0
10.7%
1-2
8.0%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).