Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.3%
St Pauli
20.4%
Draw
55.3%
Kettering Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
St Pauli
vs
2.09
Kettering Town
Markets
BTTS64.1%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.566.4%
Over 3.544.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.5%
1-1
8.8%
0-2
7.2%
0-1
7.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
2-1
6.0%
0-3
5.0%
1-0
4.6%
2-3
4.4%
1-4
3.5%
0-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).