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11 Nov 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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63.7%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
23.3%
Draw
13.0%
Seraing

Expected Goals (xG)

1.81

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

vs
0.68

Seraing

Markets

BTTS42.0%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.4%
2-0
13.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.9%
3-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.1%
4-0
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
4-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).