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07 Mar 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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59.2%
Scunthorpe
22.3%
Draw
18.5%
Altrincham

Expected Goals (xG)

2.08

Scunthorpe

vs
1.10

Altrincham

Markets

BTTS59.0%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.539.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.0%
1-0
7.9%
3-1
6.9%
3-0
6.3%
2-2
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
0-0
5.0%
0-1
3.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-1
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).