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DHT: 00CSV

02 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.6%
Shrewsbury
25.4%
Draw
41.0%
AFC Wimbledon

Expected Goals (xG)

1.12

Shrewsbury

vs
1.27

AFC Wimbledon

Markets

BTTS47.5%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.7%
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.3%
1-2
8.3%
0-0
8.0%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).