Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.1%
Paris FC
24.0%
Draw
45.9%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Paris FC
vs
1.47
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.9%
1-1
11.4%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
9.1%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
7.0%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
5.1%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).