Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.4%
Lecce
25.2%
Draw
61.4%
Milan
Expected Goals (xG)
0.55
Lecce
vs
1.52
Milan
Markets
BTTS32.8%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.561.1%
Over 2.534.2%
Over 3.515.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.4%
0-2
14.6%
0-0
12.4%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
8.0%
0-3
7.4%
1-0
7.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-1
2.9%
0-4
2.8%
2-2
2.2%
2-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).