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DHT: 10CSV

01 Dec 2024 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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83.6%
PAOK
12.4%
Draw
4.1%
Athens Kallithea

Expected Goals (xG)

2.76

PAOK

vs
0.51

Athens Kallithea

Markets

BTTS38.1%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.541.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.4%
3-0
13.3%
1-0
10.0%
4-0
9.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-1
6.8%
1-1
5.9%
5-0
5.1%
4-1
4.7%
0-0
4.3%
5-1
2.6%
2-2
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).