Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.8%
Empoli
25.9%
Draw
22.3%
Sampdoria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Empoli
vs
0.87
Sampdoria
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
10.4%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
5.2%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).