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19 Sept 2024 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.8%
Leganes
29.0%
Draw
34.3%
Ath Bilbao

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Leganes

vs
1.15

Ath Bilbao

Markets

BTTS48.0%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
1-0
11.1%
0-1
10.6%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
3-0
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).