Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.3%
Hartlepool
26.5%
Draw
42.2%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Hartlepool
vs
1.30
Accrington
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.5%
1-1
12.5%
1-0
10.5%
0-0
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).