Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.5%
Amorebieta
28.1%
Draw
23.5%
Ibiza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Amorebieta
vs
0.83
Ibiza
Markets
BTTS41.2%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.517.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.5%
1-1
12.6%
0-0
11.5%
2-0
10.2%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.0%
3-1
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-2
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).