Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.9%
Lech Poznań
19.4%
Draw
24.7%
Lechia Gdańsk
Expected Goals (xG)
2.60
Lech Poznań
vs
1.75
Lechia Gdańsk
Markets
BTTS77.0%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.593.6%
Over 2.580.9%
Over 3.563.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
7.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-1
6.6%
1-1
6.4%
3-2
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-0
4.4%
4-1
4.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-2
3.8%
3-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).