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05 Oct 2024 · 10:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.8%
Veres
27.8%
Draw
45.4%
Zorya Luhansk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.01

Veres

vs
1.39

Zorya Luhansk

Markets

BTTS48.0%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
0-1
12.3%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
4.1%
3-1
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).