Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.4%
Leganes
32.2%
Draw
16.4%
Alcorcon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Leganes
vs
0.50
Alcorcon
Markets
BTTS26.4%
Over 0.580.4%
Over 1.548.2%
Over 2.522.3%
Over 3.58.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
22.3%
0-0
19.6%
2-0
12.5%
1-1
11.0%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-0
4.7%
1-2
2.8%
0-2
2.4%
3-1
2.3%
2-2
1.6%
4-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).