Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.8%
Zaragoza
26.8%
Draw
37.4%
Ceuta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Zaragoza
vs
1.26
Ceuta
Markets
BTTS50.6%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
0-1
10.6%
1-0
10.3%
0-0
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).