Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.1%
Werder Bremen
26.5%
Draw
30.4%
Hertha
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Werder Bremen
vs
1.28
Hertha
Markets
BTTS58.1%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
0-0
6.7%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
5.8%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.8%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).