Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.2%
Sassuolo
16.6%
Draw
9.2%
Cesena
Expected Goals (xG)
2.59
Sassuolo
vs
0.85
Cesena
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.586.5%
Over 2.566.8%
Over 3.545.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.8%
3-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-1
7.9%
1-1
7.7%
1-0
7.6%
4-0
6.0%
4-1
5.1%
0-0
3.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-2
3.3%
5-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).