Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.7%
Venezia
19.3%
Draw
9.0%
Brescia
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
Venezia
vs
0.66
Brescia
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.9%
1-0
11.8%
3-0
10.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.6%
4-0
5.5%
4-1
3.7%
2-2
3.0%
0-1
3.0%
1-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).