Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.5%
Birmingham
32.4%
Draw
25.1%
Charlton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Birmingham
vs
0.84
Charlton
Markets
BTTS40.2%
Over 0.585.4%
Over 1.560.7%
Over 2.532.5%
Over 3.514.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
0-0
14.6%
1-1
14.3%
0-1
10.1%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).