Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.2%
Lyon
19.6%
Draw
13.1%
Nantes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Lyon
vs
0.74
Nantes
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.1%
2-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.3%
3-0
8.6%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
6.2%
0-1
5.0%
4-0
4.3%
2-2
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).