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AHT: 00CSV

12 Mar 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.4%
Eupen
24.2%
Draw
59.4%
Waregem

Expected Goals (xG)

0.82

Eupen

vs
1.78

Waregem

Markets

BTTS47.3%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.5%
0-2
11.7%
1-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.0%
0-3
6.9%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.5%
2-2
4.0%
0-4
3.1%
1-4
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).