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DHT: 00

14 Sept 2025 · 16:30

Genk

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.2%
Anderlecht
24.6%
Draw
31.2%
Genk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.67

Anderlecht

vs
1.37

Genk

Markets

BTTS61.0%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.536.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
0-1
6.1%
0-0
5.2%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
3.7%
3-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).