Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.1%
Real Madrid
13.4%
Draw
6.5%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
2.68
Real Madrid
vs
0.65
Girona
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.542.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.8%
3-0
11.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
4-0
7.7%
3-1
7.5%
1-1
6.4%
4-1
5.0%
5-0
4.1%
0-0
3.7%
2-2
2.7%
5-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).