Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.4%
Livorno
28.4%
Draw
39.1%
Cremonese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Livorno
vs
1.40
Cremonese
Markets
BTTS55.1%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-2
8.6%
0-1
8.6%
0-0
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
1-0
7.6%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).