Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.9%
Fenerbahce
25.9%
Draw
25.2%
Besiktas
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
Fenerbahce
vs
1.45
Besiktas
Markets
BTTS68.9%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.588.6%
Over 2.567.8%
Over 3.546.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
0-0
5.3%
3-2
4.5%
3-0
4.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-3
3.2%
0-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).