Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.2%
Fleetwood Town
25.5%
Draw
31.3%
Milton Keynes Dons
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Fleetwood Town
vs
1.05
Milton Keynes Dons
Markets
BTTS46.3%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
1-1
11.9%
0-1
11.1%
2-1
8.5%
0-0
8.4%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).