Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.9%
Crewe
25.9%
Draw
38.2%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Crewe
vs
1.19
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.7%
1-0
12.2%
1-1
12.1%
0-0
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
2.9%
0-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).