Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.7%
Ajaccio
25.0%
Draw
32.3%
Nimes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Ajaccio
vs
1.12
Nimes
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.5%
1-1
11.8%
0-1
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
2-0
7.7%
0-0
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).