Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.7%
Andorra
27.0%
Draw
22.4%
Amorebieta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Andorra
vs
0.84
Amorebieta
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.0%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
10.5%
0-0
10.4%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
5.2%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.1%
0-2
3.7%
2-2
3.7%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).