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18 Feb 2023 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.0%
Ein Frankfurt
20.2%
Draw
19.9%
Werder Bremen

Expected Goals (xG)

2.36

Ein Frankfurt

vs
1.32

Werder Bremen

Markets

BTTS66.9%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.588.7%
Over 2.571.0%
Over 3.550.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.4%
3-1
7.3%
2-0
7.0%
2-2
6.1%
3-0
5.5%
1-0
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-1
4.3%
4-0
3.3%
0-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).