Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.2%
Hartlepool
27.8%
Draw
20.0%
Dover Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Hartlepool
vs
0.86
Dover Athletic
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
13.0%
2-0
10.8%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
6.8%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.4%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).