Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.9%
Casa Pia
21.1%
Draw
64.0%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Casa Pia
vs
2.10
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.558.2%
Over 3.535.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.7%
1-1
10.0%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.6%
0-3
7.5%
1-3
6.9%
0-0
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
2-1
4.3%
0-4
4.0%
1-0
3.9%
1-4
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).