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11 Jan 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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77.1%
Falkirk
15.5%
Draw
7.4%
Queens Park

Expected Goals (xG)

2.79

Falkirk

vs
0.82

Queens Park

Markets

BTTS53.7%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.588.5%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.548.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.5%
3-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-1
8.0%
1-1
7.2%
4-0
6.8%
1-0
6.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-0
3.8%
0-0
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).