Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.8%
Villarreal B
26.5%
Draw
51.6%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Villarreal B
vs
1.45
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.8%
1-1
12.2%
0-2
10.7%
0-0
10.0%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
3.7%
2-0
3.6%
0-4
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).