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AHT: 01CSV

29 Apr 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.4%
Queens Park
34.8%
Draw
29.9%
Stenhousemuir

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Queens Park

vs
0.84

Stenhousemuir

Markets

BTTS35.6%
Over 0.582.3%
Over 1.554.1%
Over 2.526.5%
Over 3.510.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
17.7%
1-0
14.9%
1-1
14.2%
0-1
13.3%
2-0
7.5%
2-1
6.3%
0-2
6.0%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-0
2.3%
3-1
2.0%
0-3
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).