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AHT: 01CSV

29 Mar 2025 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.7%
Ferrol
27.1%
Draw
56.2%
La Coruna

Expected Goals (xG)

0.63

Ferrol

vs
1.42

La Coruna

Markets

BTTS35.3%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.560.5%
Over 2.533.5%
Over 3.515.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
18.4%
0-2
13.0%
0-0
12.8%
1-1
11.4%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-1
3.6%
2-2
2.6%
2-0
2.6%
0-4
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).