Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.9%
Swansea
31.5%
Draw
23.5%
Blackburn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Swansea
vs
0.82
Blackburn
Markets
BTTS41.0%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.534.1%
Over 3.515.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
1-1
14.1%
0-0
13.8%
2-0
9.8%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
5.3%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.0%
3-1
3.3%
2-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).