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18 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.5%
Grays Athletic
29.1%
Draw
48.4%
Witham Town

Expected Goals (xG)

0.73

Grays Athletic

vs
1.23

Witham Town

Markets

BTTS36.2%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.557.8%
Over 2.531.1%
Over 3.513.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
17.7%
0-0
13.8%
1-1
12.3%
1-0
10.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
4.6%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-2
2.8%
0-4
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).